Group decision making is an expression of artful
leadership. Group decisions can be
difficult to create because the finial outcome needs to account for all
viewpoints for the group to stand behind it.
That can be difficult when there are competing or opposing views in the
group. Leadership comes into play then
through the guidance of a group through an agreed upon process that will ensure
all voices are heard and a decision all can support is reached.
The Delphi Method is one form of group decision making that
has been discussed in class and takes an iterative and anonymous approach (Dagher, 2021). Participants are asked for their answers or
opinions on one or more topics. Those
answers are gathered, summarized and shared back with the group at which point the
participants can revise their initial feedback.
This approach is repeated until a cohesive decision comes from the
group. The downside of something like
the Delphi is that ensuring the anonymity of the group participants can make it
a slower process than some others.
The decision tree technique is a group decision making
construct that starts with a root question for the group (Fellow, 2021). Possible outcomes from that root question are
added and become branches to the tree.
Each of these outcomes can also be decision points with their own
outcomes. IN this way, decision trees
can be used to map a current decision point to multiple future outcomes. Each
outcome can also be assigned a likelihood of occurrence and an expected benefit
to help decision makers evaluate different possibilities.
It is useful when dealing with large, complex problems that
may not have yes/no or definitive “right” answers. It is also useful for mapping out complex
scenarios to uncover hidden opportunities and pitfalls. And it can be useful from presentations to
higher level management because of its inherently visual nature.
Similar to decision trees and also useful to deal with
large, complex issues is weighted scoring.
This is a particular favorite of mine as I have used it to good success
in the past. Weighted scoring starts out
by defining some key considerations. If
we are looking to launch a new product line, what are the metrics we would use
to evaluate it. Cost, time to produce,
profit margin, etc. Then the team brainstorms
possible solutions or outcomes to different solutions, much like what happens
in the decision tree format. Each of
these outcomes or solutions is weighted based on how favorable it is according
to the key metrics. This is similar to
how decision trees can assign weights to certain outcomes by giving them
probabilities of occurring, but the difference is that weighted scoring may
account for more variables and is tends to focus more sharply on expected
benefit rather than likelihood of occurrence.
Also, weighted scoring generally does not have the if/then linkages seen
in decision trees; decision trees show paths to outcomes whereas weighted
scoring shows the outcomes.
References
Dagher, K. (2021). 10 of the Most Effective
Group Decision Making Techniques. Retrieved from https://fellow.app/blog/productivity/group-decision-making-techniques/#step
Fellow.
(2021). Decision Tree Analysis: How to Make Effective Decisions. Retrieved from
https://fellow.app/blog/productivity/decision-tree-analysis-how-to-make-effective-decisions/
No comments:
Post a Comment