Pasteurization is a process named for and developed by French scientist Louis Pasteur that uses heat to kill many of the harmful bacteria and microorganisms found in some consumer goods (Staff, 2021).  Perishable items like juice, eggs and dairy products sold in grocery stores today are typically subjected to pasteurization as a way of both making them safer for consumption and extending their shelf lives.  One of the most widely recognized pasteurized products is milk.  While pasteurization itself was the result of deliberate development, the application of pasteurization to dairy products, was a happy accident borne out of an effort to drive down infant mortality in the US and has changed the course of history.

In 1863, Louis Pasteur received a letter from the court of Napoleon III that urged him to look into the spoilage of wine, a major French industry (Bramen, 2009).  By that time, Pasteur was already a well-known scientist whose germ theory would end up creating a new field of scientific study that would later become micro-biology.  His theories about bacteria and micro-organisms debunked many misconceptions at the time and paved the way for his groundbreaking work on fermentation.

Pasteur discovered that fermentation was a biological process, that the alcohol and carbon dioxide produced in bread and beer and wine was the result of micro-organisms, yeast, eating sugars in the base material.  Prior to this, many bakers and brewers believed that yeast had a tangential, supporting role, not a central one (Nelson, 2009).  It was this work in fermentation that laid the groundwork for his creation of the pasteurization process.  It also brought him the academic attention to make him the natural choice to solve the problem that led to the discovery of pasteurization. 

As previously mentioned, Pasteur was asked to solve the problem of wine spoilage.  Wine was a major industry in France and spoilage was a large source of loss for local vintners.   Drawing on techniques and insights gained from his work in fermentations, Pasteur observed that wine was not pure, there were many forms of bacteria and fungi present.  He knew from his prior work with yeast that these microorganisms could be causing or influencing the spoilage.  Finally, he knew that heating a substance for a short period of time could kill yeast so he reasoned it might work in this case too.  He had demonstrated this earlier when he heated beet wine in order to kill naturally occurring yeast so that vintners could introduce the desirable yeast that would create fermentation (Nelson, 2009). 

Pasteur began experimenting and found that heating the wine to a temperature between 140 and 212 degrees for a short period of time killed off many of the undesirable microorganisms in the wine.  And because the heat applied was relatively mild, it had little to no noticeable effect on the flavor of the wine once it cooled again.  Pasteur’s process of heating at relatively low temperatures in the absence of oxygen had the desired effect; the shelf life of wine was significantly extended. 

Pasteur never experimented with milk.  But in the early 1800’s, milk was a common transmission vector for pathogens like tuberculosis. In fact, infant mortality rates in the late 1800’s was 30-60 times higher than mortality rates today, due in large part to the misunderstanding of how germs and pathogens spread to infants (Currier & Widness, 2018).  Applying the process of pasteurization to milk, and subsequently to other food products, led to dramatic decreases in food borne illnesses and mortality.  Pasteurized food has been so effective at reducing the spread of pathogens that tuberculosis is no longer listed a food-borne pathogen by the FDA (White, 2010).   Indeed, in 1973 the US Food and Drug Administration mandated that all interstate sales of milk undergo the pasteurization process (Staff, 2021). 

While not exactly an accident, the work of one scientist to preserve the shelf life of wine led to saving millions of infants from food borne pathogens on a different continent.  This is especially notable because information did not travel as fast in 1880, or even in 1960, as it does today.  The work of a French scientist would not have been easy to find for scientists in the United States looking for answers to their infant mortality problem, especially since Pasteur worked with an entirely different substance.  Applying the pasteurization process to the infant mortality problem was innovative and the clear result of a series of happy accidents. 

If we take the definition of accident that indicates it is an event that happens by chance, then this certainly fits.  Pasteur began his work as a chemist and yet became involved in fermentation.  Pasteur was at the right point in history to have access to microscopes that were good enough to see what he needed to see.  Microscopes had been around since the early 1600’s but would not have been able to see the microorganisms that because Pasteur’s focus until improvements in structure and lens quality that happened in the 1800’s (Anderson, 2010).  Finally, Pasteur himself never worked on the US mortality problem.  He was charged with solving wine spoilage on a different continent.  That US scientists engaged in solving the problem knew of and thought to apply Pasteur’s work, all at a time preceding digital communication, is remarkable. 

 

 

References

Anderson, H. (2010). History of the Microscope. Retrieved from https://www.microscopemaster.com/history-of-the-microscope.html

Bramen, L. (2009). When Food Changed History: Louis Pasteur. Smithsonian. Retrieved from https://www.smithsonianmag.com/arts-culture/when-food-changed-history-louis-pasteur-58855064/

Currier, R. W., & Widness, J. A. (2018). A Brief History of Milk Hygiene and Its Impact on Infant Mortality from 1875 to 1925 and Implications for Today: A Review. J Food Prot, 81(10), 1713-1722. doi:10.4315/0362-028x.Jfp-18-186

Nelson, B. (2009). The Lingering Heat over Pasteurized Milk. Retrieved from https://www.sciencehistory.org/distillations/the-lingering-heat-over-pasteurized-milk

Staff, M. C. (2021). What Is Pasteurization? Learn About the History and Benefits of Pasteurization. Retrieved from https://www.masterclass.com/articles/what-is-pasteurization-learn-about-the-history-and-benefits-of-pasteurization

White, C. (2010). How Pasteurization Works. Retrieved from https://science.howstuffworks.com/life/cellular-microscopic/pasteurization1.htm

 

  

Group decision making is an expression of artful leadership.  Group decisions can be difficult to create because the finial outcome needs to account for all viewpoints for the group to stand behind it.  That can be difficult when there are competing or opposing views in the group.  Leadership comes into play then through the guidance of a group through an agreed upon process that will ensure all voices are heard and a decision all can support is reached. 

The Delphi Method is one form of group decision making that has been discussed in class and takes an iterative and anonymous approach (Dagher, 2021).  Participants are asked for their answers or opinions on one or more topics.  Those answers are gathered, summarized and shared back with the group at which point the participants can revise their initial feedback.  This approach is repeated until a cohesive decision comes from the group.  The downside of something like the Delphi is that ensuring the anonymity of the group participants can make it a slower process than some others. 

The decision tree technique is a group decision making construct that starts with a root question for the group (Fellow, 2021).  Possible outcomes from that root question are added and become branches to the tree.  Each of these outcomes can also be decision points with their own outcomes.  IN this way, decision trees can be used to map a current decision point to multiple future outcomes. Each outcome can also be assigned a likelihood of occurrence and an expected benefit to help decision makers evaluate different possibilities. 

It is useful when dealing with large, complex problems that may not have yes/no or definitive “right” answers.  It is also useful for mapping out complex scenarios to uncover hidden opportunities and pitfalls.  And it can be useful from presentations to higher level management because of its inherently visual nature. 

Similar to decision trees and also useful to deal with large, complex issues is weighted scoring.  This is a particular favorite of mine as I have used it to good success in the past.  Weighted scoring starts out by defining some key considerations.  If we are looking to launch a new product line, what are the metrics we would use to evaluate it.  Cost, time to produce, profit margin, etc.  Then the team brainstorms possible solutions or outcomes to different solutions, much like what happens in the decision tree format.  Each of these outcomes or solutions is weighted based on how favorable it is according to the key metrics.  This is similar to how decision trees can assign weights to certain outcomes by giving them probabilities of occurring, but the difference is that weighted scoring may account for more variables and is tends to focus more sharply on expected benefit rather than likelihood of occurrence.  Also, weighted scoring generally does not have the if/then linkages seen in decision trees; decision trees show paths to outcomes whereas weighted scoring shows the outcomes. 

 

 

References

Dagher, K. (2021). 10 of the Most Effective Group Decision Making Techniques. Retrieved from https://fellow.app/blog/productivity/group-decision-making-techniques/#step

Fellow. (2021). Decision Tree Analysis: How to Make Effective Decisions. Retrieved from https://fellow.app/blog/productivity/decision-tree-analysis-how-to-make-effective-decisions/

Rain at last

 I'm not sure where this will fit into the larger themes of the blog.  I admit I'm not sure what the larger themes of the blog are yet.  But as someone that has tried to squeeze all the uncertainty possible out of my life over the past few years, I'm taking the opportunity to embrace the uncertain.  I'm trying to focus on the process rather than the outcome in the hopes that all the wise people are right and the outcome will take care of itself.  We will see.

The pandemic has been a particularly tough time for me and I imagine for people that think like me.  I generally don't do well with uncertainty (squeeze, remember?) and these past 20 months have been nothing if not uncertain.  Will i get sick?  If i do, will I survive?  Can I protect my family, can I protect myself?  It's truly been a time for wild abandonment.  

So on some level, I think I understand people the protest mask mandates and vaccine requirements.  The uncertainty is crushing or it can be and everyone reacts to that pressure differently.  For some people, like myself, I cling to what I can control.  I can wear a mask, I can get a shot.  And those actions make the uncertainty more bearable.  But other people look at it from the other side; the masks are not 100% effective, the vaccines are not 100% effective so neither represents relief from the gnawing doubt.  The only relief from doubt that is available is a firm stance that none of it matters so why do it.  At least in that position, you have a little certainty.  you know that you will not do these things.  you know that whatever your risk for contracting the disease is, it has remained the same.  And while you wait for your unlucky lottery number to pop, you get to enjoy your life as you used to.  

There is comfort in that and until I wrote this, I hadn't fully appreciated it.  Don't misunderstand, I'm still not happy about it.  I want to get back to normal as much as the next person and, from where I'm sitting, the biggest reason we haven't is the inability to face cold reality by so many of my country-people.  This pandemic could be fading in our collective memories, it could be turning into nothing worse than seasonal flu as so many have wrongly claimed.  But it's not and it's not because we have too many people unwilling to put their big boy and big girl pants on and do what's best for everyone else and not just what makes them happy in the moment.  

Here we go

This is it, the beginning.  Everything starts somewhere, we're at the start of whatever this will end up being.  I've liked the idea of blogging for a while, who doesn't want to have a forum to talk about whatever they feel like, but that self doubt about the audience always comes in.  Who really wants to hear what I have to say, there's nothing that special about my point of view.  If anything, it's pretty generic, pretty privileged.  After all, I'm creating this as part of a doctoral class assignment.    

That said, I believe there is value in putting meaningful content into the world.  I believe in the value of shared ideas and inspiration because I have garnered so much personal value from the ideas of others.  So maybe it's self serving and self centered to think I can add back into the pool that has fed me but it's worth a shot.  Maybe there's an idea or thought bouncing around inside this melon that can help someone.  

This blog begins in CS 875, Futuring and Innovation, which is as good a place as any.  The class demands a wide thought aperture.  Correlating different ideas, pulling together different trends, looking at the world through a more inclusive lense.  It's easy to think that maybe everyone could do this, could guess at the future and see if they're right but I don't think that's entirely accurate.  In order to make reasonable predictions or present ideas that have merit, there has to be a foundation of deep understanding that only comes with years of education, study and experience.  Like a house, what we see are the shiney fixtures, the neat ideas, but what makes that possible is the foundation, the dirty concrete that took a lot of work to get just right.  While it may seem like 20 years of work experience in two degrees isn't a prerequisite for this kind of thing, and who knows, maybe it really isn't, I think that's the concrete foundation that worthwhile ideas sit on.  

This blog will be a Joycean stream of consciousness.  In some cases, we'll look at technology and applications of technology. In others, we might delve into what it means to be a good citizen or how morality develops.  What this blog is really about then is what it means to be a human being.  As humans, we strive, we look forward, we dream.  That's the innovation piece that this class is asking me to do.  But being human is also knowing where we are and what gives us joy and value in the present.  That should be a part of the discussion as well.  So I will do my best to offer both sides.